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清华大学学报(自然科学版)  2018, Vol. 58 Issue (8): 761-767    DOI: 10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2018.26.031
  环境科学与工程 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
基于灰色关联度的粤港澳大湾区空气质量影响因素分析
湛社霞1,2, 匡耀求1, 阮柱1,2
1. 中国科学院 广州地球化学研究所, 广州 510640;
2. 中国科学院大学, 北京 100049
Factors impacting the regional air quality in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area: A study based on grey relational analysis
ZHAN Shexia1,2, KUANG Yaoqiu1, RUAN Zhu1,2
1. Guangzhou Institute of Geochemistry, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Guangzhou 510640, China;
2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
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摘要 利用粤港澳珠江三角洲区域空气监控网络数据,分析2006-2016年粤港澳大湾区空气污染物的时空变化,探讨其影响因素。采用灰色关联度计算社会经济因素与珠三角、香港和澳门空气污染物浓度的关联度。结果表明:粤港澳大湾区内SO2、NO2和PM10年平均浓度总体呈明显下降趋势,月平均浓度呈U形变化趋势;O3年平均浓度呈上升趋势,月际变化呈M形趋势;工业、能源消耗、人口、机动车数量和环境管理政策是影响区域空气质量的主要因素。强化联合防控,严格管控工业污染、降低能源消耗和加强车辆管制,是持续改善粤港澳大湾区空气质量的主要途径。
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湛社霞
匡耀求
阮柱
关键词 空气质量粤港澳大湾区灰色关联度污染物影响因素    
Abstract:This study investigates the temporal and spatial variations of air pollutants in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area during 2006-2016 based on the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Pearl River Delta Regional Air Quality Monitoring Network data to identify the key factors affecting the pollutants. The correlation between social-economic factors and the pollutant concentrations is also analyzed using a grey relational analysis. The air quality monitoring results showed that the average annual concentrations of SO2, NO2 and PM10 generally decreased over the study period while the average monthly concentrations had U-shaped curves. However, the average annual O3 concentration increased dramatically with its monthly variations having M-shape curves during each year. The results indicate that industry, energy consumption, population and environmental management are the main factors affecting the air quality in the Greater Bay Area. Thus, the main pathways for improving the air quality in the Greater Bay Area are tough industrial pollution regulations, reduced energy consumption and strengthened vehicle emission control measures.
Key wordsair quality    Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area    grey relational analysis    influence factors of pollutants
收稿日期: 2018-01-10      出版日期: 2018-08-15
基金资助:广东省科技计划项目(2016A020228009);广东省生态文明协同创新重点研究基地项目
通讯作者: 匡耀求,研究员,E-mail:yaoqiuk@gig.ac.cn     E-mail: yaoqiuk@gig.ac.cn
引用本文:   
湛社霞, 匡耀求, 阮柱. 基于灰色关联度的粤港澳大湾区空气质量影响因素分析[J]. 清华大学学报(自然科学版), 2018, 58(8): 761-767.
ZHAN Shexia, KUANG Yaoqiu, RUAN Zhu. Factors impacting the regional air quality in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area: A study based on grey relational analysis. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology), 2018, 58(8): 761-767.
链接本文:  
http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2018.26.031  或          http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/Y2018/V58/I8/761
  图1 珠三角、 香港和澳门大气污染物年均浓度变化趋势
  图2 珠三角/香港/澳门大气污染物月均浓度变化趋势
  图3 2006—2016年粤港澳大湾区空气污染物秩相关系数空间分布
  表1 珠三角经济因素与污染物的灰色关联度(2006—2016年)
  表2 香港经济因素与污染物浓度的灰色关联度(2006—2016年)
  表3 澳门经济因素与污染物浓度的灰色关联度(2006—2016年)
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