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清华大学学报(自然科学版)  2022, Vol. 62 Issue (3): 581-588    DOI: 10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2021.22.031
  水利水电工程 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
基于结构方程模型的蒸散发归因分析
杨文静1,2, 赵建世1, 赵勇2, 王庆明2
1. 清华大学 水利水电工程系, 北京 100084;
2. 中国水利水电科学研究院, 北京 100038
Factors affecting evapotranspiration analyzed based on a structural equation model
YANG Wenjing1,2, ZHAO Jianshi1, ZHAO Yong2, WANG Qingming2
1. Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;
2. China Institute of Water Resources and Hydropower Research, Beijing 100038, China
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摘要 地表蒸散发是评估气候变化对区域水热循环作用的关键过程。然而,在气候变化和人类活动的双重影响下,植被对蒸散发的定量影响较难衡量。该文利用时间序列分析法探求2001至2019年植被变化的趋势,并利用遥感数据产品和气象要素驱动数据集在海河流域建立了结构方程模型,分离气候变化和植被变化对于蒸散发的影响。结果表明:研究时段内植被叶面积指数显著增加,平均每年增加0.014 m2/m2,植被变化对蒸散发的影响程度显著大于气候变化对蒸散发的直接影响程度,气候因素通过植被间接对蒸散发产生较强的影响。该研究可为该地区的水资源评估和综合管理提供基础。
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杨文静
赵建世
赵勇
王庆明
关键词 水文循环与水文气象气候变化叶面积指数(LAI)海河流域结构方程模型(SEM)    
Abstract:Surface evapotranspiration is a key process for measuring the effect of climate change on the regional hydrothermal cycle. However, the quantitative impact of vegetation on evapotranspiration is difficult to measure due to the effects of climate change and human activities. This study used time series analyses to describe the vegetation changes from 2001 to 2019. A structural equation model (SEM) for the Haihe River basin was then developed using remote sensing data and meteorological forcing data. The purpose was to separate the impact of climate change from the impact of vegetation change on the evapotranspiration. The results show that the vegetation leaf area index (LAI) increases significantly during the study period (0.014 (m2/m2)/a) and that the vegetation has a significantly greater influence on evapotranspiration than climate change. Climate factors indirectly exert a strong influence on evapotranspiration through vegetation. This study provides a basis for the assessment and integrated management of water resources in this area.
Key wordshydrological cycle and hydrometeorology    climate change    leaf area index (LAI)    Haihe River basin    structural equation model (SEM)
收稿日期: 2021-03-05      出版日期: 2022-03-10
基金资助:赵建世,教授,E-mail:zhaojianshi@tsinghua.edu.cn
引用本文:   
杨文静, 赵建世, 赵勇, 王庆明. 基于结构方程模型的蒸散发归因分析[J]. 清华大学学报(自然科学版), 2022, 62(3): 581-588.
YANG Wenjing, ZHAO Jianshi, ZHAO Yong, WANG Qingming. Factors affecting evapotranspiration analyzed based on a structural equation model. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology), 2022, 62(3): 581-588.
链接本文:  
http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2021.22.031  或          http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/Y2022/V62/I3/581
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
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