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清华大学学报(自然科学版)  2023, Vol. 63 Issue (2): 233-241    DOI: 10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2022.22.049
  建设管理 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
水利工程风险管理:以宁夏水利工程为例
娄长圣1, 唐文哲1, 王腾飞2
1. 清华大学 水利水电工程系, 水沙科学与水利水电工程国家重点实验室, 北京 100084;
2. 清华大学 学生处, 北京 100084
Risk management of water conservancy projects: Taking water conservancy projects in Ningxia as an example
LOU Changsheng1, TANG Wenzhe1, WANG Tengfei2
1. State Key Laboratory of Hydroscience and Engineering, Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;
2. Student Office, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
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摘要 水利工程项目难度大、周期长、参建方多,与经济、社会、生态环境关系密切。如何进行水利工程风险的有效管理是亟待解决的问题。该文构建了基于信息技术的水利工程风险管理模型,并基于宁夏水利工程风险管理调研进行了实证。该模型在理论方面可帮助理解激励机制、参建各方协作、风险管理流程和信息化水利工程风险管理平台之间的关系,在实践方面可指导参建各方全面、协同、高效地管理水利工程风险。加强水利工程风险管理应建立完善的风险管理体系、协同的风险管理机制、完善的风险管理绩效考核与激励机制以及水利工程信息化风险管理平台,管理平台包括水利工程风险数据库、多方协同工作平台和信息化决策支持系统。
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娄长圣
唐文哲
王腾飞
关键词 水利工程风险管理信息技术建设管理    
Abstract:[Objective] Water conservancy projects are complex and closely interact with the economy, society, and environment, involving multiple participants. Thus, there is a need to systematically manage risks to water conservancy projects with the support of information technology to effectively control risks and reduce losses. [Method] This study presents a risk management model for water conservancy projects, which can help understand the relationships between incentives, collaboration among participants, risk management processes, and information management platforms for water conservancy projects. Practically, the model can assist participants in efficiently managing project risks holistically. The model is validated by a survey of water conservancy projects in Ningxia, China. Quantitative and qualitative data were collected through a survey method mainly based on a questionnaire survey, supplemented by interviews and field investigation. The indicators were constructed based on literature research, and the 5-point Likert scoring method was used to quantify these indicators. The questionnaire consists of four parts: (1) In the section on risk factors of water conservancy projects, the influence and possibility of risks of water conservancy projects were evaluated. (2) In the section on the risk management system of the participating parties, the current situation of the risk management of each participant was analyzed to comprehensively evaluate the risk management level of each participant in water conservancy projects. (3) In the section on risk management methods, the use of risk management methods by the participants in each stage of risk management was evaluated. (4) In the section on risk management constraints, the main obstacles encountered by each participant in the risk management processes were summarized. Based on the mean value analysis of the questionnaire data and the interviews with each participant involved in the construction of water conservancy projects, we systematically analyzed the current situation of risk management of water conservancy projects in Ningxia. [Results] The survey results on risk management of water conservancy projects in Ningxia show that: (1) The main risks in water conservancy projects include construction safety issues, poor hydrogeological conditions, insufficient construction management capabilities, and resettlement issues. (2) Each participant in water conservancy projects needs to further improve their risk management systems to improve the level of risk management. (3) Risk analysis of water conservancy projects is mainly judged by the technical and management personnel relying on experience. Qualitative analysis is mainly used in risk analysis. Meanwhile, quantitative analysis has not been conducted. (4) The main constraints of risk management of water conservancy projects include the lack of a joint risk management system, insufficient information support for risk management, and irrational risk distribution among each participant in the construction. [Conclusions] Through the research on risk management of water conservancy projects in Ningxia, this study provides suggestions on risk management and helps the participants further improve their risk management capabilities. Risk management of water conservancy projects should (1) establish a formal risk management system; (2) create a collaborative risk management mechanism; (3) use appropriate incentives; and (4) develop an information management platform consisting of a water conservancy project risk database, a collaborative work system, and a decision-making support system.
Key wordswater conservancy project    risk management    information technology    construction management
收稿日期: 2022-06-23      出版日期: 2023-01-14
基金资助:唐文哲,教授,E-mail: twz@mail.tsinghua.edu.cn
引用本文:   
娄长圣, 唐文哲, 王腾飞. 水利工程风险管理:以宁夏水利工程为例[J]. 清华大学学报(自然科学版), 2023, 63(2): 233-241.
LOU Changsheng, TANG Wenzhe, WANG Tengfei. Risk management of water conservancy projects: Taking water conservancy projects in Ningxia as an example. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology), 2023, 63(2): 233-241.
链接本文:  
http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2022.22.049  或          http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/Y2023/V63/I2/233
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
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