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清华大学学报(自然科学版)  2022, Vol. 62 Issue (3): 601-613    DOI: 10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2021.26.032
  经济与公共管理 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
“稳地价”调控、地方政府土地供应与土地成交量价表现
吴淑萍1, 张莉2, 杨赞3
1. 北京交通大学 经济管理学院, 北京 100044;
2. 中山大学 国际金融学院, 珠海 519082;
3. 清华大学 建设管理系房地产研究所, 北京 100084
Stabilizing land price, local government land supply, and land transaction prices and volumes
WU Shuping1, ZHANG Li2, YANG Zan3
1. School of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China;
2. International School of Business and Finance, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai 519082, China;
3. Department of Construction Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
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摘要 近年来,以"稳地价"为前提的长效机制建设成为我国城乡建设工作的重要目标之一,地方政府作为重要的责任主体,面临着保障地价稳定和房地产市场健康发展的政治压力。该文基于2007-2017年的地级市-年度面板数据,突破性地将土地流拍数据纳入土地供给研究中,检验"稳地价"调控对地方政府计划供应的土地数量,以及土地成交率、溢价率以及成交价格的影响。研究发现,在供给端,"稳地价"调控压力使地方政府显著提高了计划供应的居住用地规模,特别是在"稳地价"调控效果对地方官员晋升影响更大的城市。但在需求端,"稳地价"调控没有降低用地企业对居住用地的价格预期,因此并未显著降低居住用地成交率、溢价率和成交价格。最终,"稳地价"调控下的土地供应增加只提高了居住用地成交数量和地方政府实现的土地出让金收入,尚未能有效降低土地成交价格。
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关键词 地方政府居住用地供应土地价格流拍率    
Abstract:Prefecture-level panel data of successful and unsuccessful residential land auctions from 2007 to 2017 was analyzed to examine the influences of "stabilizing land price" regulations on the residential land supply volume, land transaction rate, land price premium rate, and land sale prices. Regulatory pressures have caused local governments to significantly increase the planned residential land supply, especially in low-administrative level cities or cities that have just experienced a change in mayor. However, the regulatory policies did not lower the price expectations of land use companies for residential land and, therefore, did not significantly reduce the residential land transaction rate, premium rate, or transaction price. In the end, the "stabilizing land price" regulations increased the number of residential land transactions and the land transfer income received by the local government but failed to achieve the goal of regulating land prices.
Key wordslocal government    residential land supply    land price    non-transaction rate
收稿日期: 2021-03-18      出版日期: 2022-03-10
基金资助:杨赞,副教授,E-mail:zanyang@tsinghua.edu.cn
引用本文:   
吴淑萍, 张莉, 杨赞. “稳地价”调控、地方政府土地供应与土地成交量价表现[J]. 清华大学学报(自然科学版), 2022, 62(3): 601-613.
WU Shuping, ZHANG Li, YANG Zan. Stabilizing land price, local government land supply, and land transaction prices and volumes. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology), 2022, 62(3): 601-613.
链接本文:  
http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2021.26.032  或          http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/Y2022/V62/I3/601
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
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