Abstract：Safety resilience is an important field in urban safety research. This paper defines the level of urban safety resilience based on a resilience curve and presents an urban safety resilience model that includes an urban structure model, urban safety resilience model, emergency model and urban recovery model. The model is used to analyze a virtual city including the architecture, traffic, power, communication and water supply sub-systems. The urban seismic safety resilience is then analyzed quantitatively using the Monte Carlo method. The model framework and method have good scalability and can provide support for constructing and assessing the safety resilient of a city.
[1] HOLLING C S. Resilience and stability of ecological systems[J]. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 1973, 4(1):1-23. [2] HOLLING C S. Understanding the complexity of economic, ecological, and social systems[J]. Ecosystems, 2001, 4(5):390-405. [3] SANCHEZ A, JEROEN V D H, OSMOND P. The city politics of an urban age:Urban resilience conceptualisations and policies[J]. Palgrave Communications, 2018, 4(1):25. [4] United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction. Disaster resilience scorecard for cities[EB/OL].[2014-03-10]. http://www.unisdr.org/2014/campaign-cities/Resilience%20Scorecard%20V1.5.pdf [5] Rockefeller Foundation. City resilience index[EB/OL].[2015-07]. http://publications.arup.com/publications/c/ity_resi-lience_index. [6] BRUNEAU M, CHANG S E, EGUCHI R T, et al. A framework to quantitatively assess and enhance the seismic resilience of communities[J]. Earthquake Spectra, 2003, 19(4):733-752. [7] BARKER K, RAMIREZ-MARQUEZ J E, ROCCO C M. Resilience-based network component importance measures[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2013, 117:89-97. [8] OUYANG M, DUEИAS-OSORIO L, MIN X. A three-stage resilience analysis framework for urban infrastructure systems[J]. Structural Safety, 2012, 36:23-31. [9] CIMELLARO G P, REINHORN A M, BRUNEAU M. Framework for analytical quantification of disaster resilience[J]. Engineering Structures, 2010, 32(11):3639-3649. [10] SHAFIEEZADEH A, BURDEN L I. Scenario-based resilience assessment framework for critical infrastructure systems:Case study for seismic resilience of seaports[J]. Reliability Engineering & System Safety, 2014, 132:207-219. [11] COX A, PRAGER F, ROSE A. Transportation security and the role of resilience:A foundation for operational metrics[J]. Transport Policy, 2011, 18(2):307-317. [12] 范维澄.构建智慧韧性城市的思考与建议[J].中国建设信息化,2015(21):20-21. FAN W C. Ideas and suggestion about constructing smart resilient city[J]. Informatization of China Construction, 2015(21):20-21. (in Chinese) [13] 仇保兴.基于复杂适应理论的韧性城市设计原则[J].现代城市,2018,13(03):1-6. QIU B X. Design philosophy of resilient cities based on the theory of complexity adaptive system[J]. Modern City, 2018,13(03):1-6. (in Chinese) [14] National Institute of Standards and Technology. Disaster resilience framework 75% draft for San Diego, CA Workshop[EB/OL].[2015-02-11]. http://www.nist.gov/el/resilience/upload/Framework_75_11Feb2015.pdf.
2020, Vol. 60 
