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清华大学学报(自然科学版)  2023, Vol. 63 Issue (10): 1537-1547    DOI: 10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2023.22.026
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城镇燃气管网事故应急救援特征分析及救援能力评估
李聪1, 鲁一霏1, 陈辰1, 徐子烜1, 杨锐2
1. 中国矿业大学(北京) 应急管理与安全工程学院, 北京 100083;
2. 清华大学 工程物理系, 北京 100084
Analysis of emergency rescue characteristics and evaluation of rescue capability for accidents associated with urban gas pipeline networks
LI Cong1, LU Yifei1, CHEN Chen1, XU Zixuan1, YANG Rui2
1. School of Emergency Management and Safety Engineering, China University of Mining and Technology(Beijing), Beijing 100083, China;
2. Department of Engineering Physics, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
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摘要 为深入认识城镇燃气管网事故应急救援过程中的不足之处,该文总结了城镇燃气管网事故应急救援特征,并对救援能力进行评估。在对现有应急预案及事故案例深入分析的基础上,明确应急救援过程中的问题特征,构建全面体现应急救援能力的指标体系,利用层次分析法与基于准则间相关性的准则重要性评价(CRITIC)法相结合的主客观组合赋权方法计算各指标权重,利用模糊综合评价法建立城镇燃气管网事故应急救援能力评估模型。将该模型应用于湖北省十堰市张湾区,结果表明: “救援人数供需比”等指标权重占比较大,需重点关注;“救援人员的合作协调能力”等指标是该地区燃气管网事故应急救援过程中的薄弱环节。该研究结果可为燃气管网事故应急措施的制定、改进和评估提供理论依据和可行方法。
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李聪
鲁一霏
陈辰
徐子烜
杨锐
关键词 燃气管网应急救援指标体系能力评估模糊综合评价    
Abstract:[Objective] Leakage accidents in urban gas pipeline networks occur from time to time, and most of them are accompanied by secondary disasters, such as explosions, fires, and building collapses, which seriously threaten the safety of people's lives and property. Previous research on gas accident rescue capability primarily focuses on gas enterprises or indoor gas emergencies, and research on accidents associated with gas pipeline networks is lacking. Some studies have limitations, such as broad evaluation indicators, vague content, and limited scope of assessment objects, which cause difficulties in applying the evaluation system in practice. This study aims to identify the weaknesses in the emergency rescue process for accidents associated with urban gas pipeline networks, effectively assess the emergency rescue capabilities for such accidents, and help improve the emergency rescue efficiency and gas safety guarantee level. [Methods] Herein, the emergency rescue characteristics for accidents associated with urban gas pipeline networks were analyzed and summarized, and the rescue capabilities for these accidents were evaluated. First, based on an in-depth analysis of emergency plans and accident cases associated with gas pipeline networks, the emergency rescue elements of accidents were extracted and sorted. Furthermore, the emergency rescue process was constructed. By summarizing the limitations in emergency rescue, an indicator system comprehensively reflecting emergency rescue capabilities was established based on four aspects, namely humans, pipelines, materials, and management. The system included 4 first-level indicators, 12 second-level indicators, and 27 third-level indicators. Second, the subjective-objective combination weighting method of the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and the criteria importance through intercriteria correlation (CRITIC) method were used to calculate the weight of each indicator to reduce the possibility of excessive subjectivity caused by expert scoring to a certain extent. Combining the weight of each indicator can help identify and focus on the indicators with a high degree of importance. Finally, an emergency rescue capability evaluation model was established using the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation approach to realize the quantitative evaluation of the emergency rescue capabilities for accidents associated with gas pipeline networks in specific regions. The model was applied to Zhangwan District, Shiyan City, Hubei Province. [Results] The results show that indicators such as the “supply-demand ratio of rescue personnel”, “effectiveness of information transmission”, and “formulation and revision of emergency plans” account for a relatively large weight compared to other indicators. The indicators of “cooperation and coordination ability of rescuers”, “equipment performance”, and “emergency drill effect” are the weak links in the emergency rescue process of accidents associated with the gas pipeline networks in the region. Therefore, the departmental interaction needs to be strengthened, the construction of the rescue coordination mechanism needs to be improved, and joint prevention and control and coordinated rescue capabilities need to be enhanced. Furthermore, to standardize emergency drill training, the safety production investment guarantee for local gas companies should be increased, and to improve the design and planning of training content, online and offline integrated learning is necessary. [Conclusions] The feasibility and applicability of the evaluation system were verified through the application case. This evaluation system for the emergency rescue capability of accidents associated with urban gas pipeline networks offers a theoretical basis and feasible approach for establishing, improving, and evaluating emergency measures for accidents associated with urban gas pipeline networks.
Key wordsgas pipeline network    emergency rescue    index system    capability evaluation    fuzzy comprehensive evaluation
收稿日期: 2023-02-10      出版日期: 2023-09-01
基金资助:国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFF0600403);中国矿业大学(北京)大学生创新训练项目(202212006);内蒙古自治区“十四五”社会公益领域重点研发和成果转化计划项目资助(2022YFSH0019);贵州省科技计划项目(黔科合支撑〔2023〕一般121)
作者简介: 李聪(1991-),男,讲师。E-mail:lic2019@cumtb.edu.cn。
引用本文:   
李聪, 鲁一霏, 陈辰, 徐子烜, 杨锐. 城镇燃气管网事故应急救援特征分析及救援能力评估[J]. 清华大学学报(自然科学版), 2023, 63(10): 1537-1547.
LI Cong, LU Yifei, CHEN Chen, XU Zixuan, YANG Rui. Analysis of emergency rescue characteristics and evaluation of rescue capability for accidents associated with urban gas pipeline networks. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology), 2023, 63(10): 1537-1547.
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http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2023.22.026  或          http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/CN/Y2023/V63/I10/1537
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
  
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