Simulation of strategies for large-scale spread containment of infectious diseases

doi:10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2016.23.014

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Abstract This paper investigates the inhibitory effects of four typical containment strategies, including quarantine, contact tracing, antiviral prophylaxis and vaccination, on the transmission process of infectious diseases. A large-scale individual-based simulation model for the spread of infectious diseases was built based on the complex network theory, with the containment strategies mentioned above then introduced into the model by quantifying the model parameters to rebuild an epidemic model. Simulation results show that these containment strategies can effectively inhibit the spread of infectious diseases, with the implementation cost significantly reduced through optimal combination of the containment strategies. The results can generate insights into scientific decision-making in the prevention and control of infectious disease spread for the public health sector.

Keywords large-scale epidemic spreading epidemic modeling containment strategy complex network

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R183

Issue Date: 15 January 2016

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	NI Shunjiang
	WENG Wenguo
	ZHANG Hui

Cite this article:

NI Shunjiang,WENG Wenguo,ZHANG Hui. Simulation of strategies for large-scale spread containment of infectious diseases[J]. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology), 2016, 56(1): 97-101.

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http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2016.23.014 OR http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/Y2016/V56/I1/97

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