ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT |
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Empirical test of the influence of treasury futures trading on interest rate volatility |
HE Ping, LIU Zehao, FAN Zhongjie |
School of Economics and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China |
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Abstract China reopened the treasury futures market in September, 2013. This study used a difference in difference model and a two-way clustering method to study the influence of treasury futures on interest rate volatility with a propensity score matching method for robust checks. The reopening of the treasury futures market significantly reduced the interest rate volatility. Emulational treasury futures trading also reduced the interest rate volatility, but the effect was weaker than with real trading of treasury futures. The results suggest that more treasury futures contracts can promote the interest rate market stability.
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Keywords
financial market
treasury futures
interest rate volatility
difference in difference model
clustered standard error
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Issue Date: 15 May 2017
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