| HYDRAULIC ENGINEERING |
|
|
|
|
|
Precipitation variations in the Yellow River Basin of China |
| WANG Yuanjian1,2, FU Xudong1,2, WANG Guangqian1,2 |
1. Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 10084, China;
2. State Key Laboratory of Hydroscience and Engineering, Beijing 100084, China |
|
|
|
|
Abstract The precipitation will change in the Yellow River Basin due to global climate changes. The flow in the Yellow River depends on the runoff from various regions and during different periods. Engineers need to predict these flow to make decisions about flood-control projects. The present study investigates the daily series of precipitation in the Yellow River Basin from 67 meteorological stations over the past 59 years (1959—2017) using multiple time-series analysis methods. The results show that the upper and middle parts can be divided into 7 regions. In the source region area of the Yellow River Basin (region Ⅲ), the annual precipitation has increased significantly which provides more water for use in the entire Yellow River Basin. However, in the middle reach (region IV), annual number of days with medium or heavy rains in some areas have significantly decreased, which may be one reason for the reduced water flow and sediment load in recent years in the river. The precipitation frequency information shows the rainfall levels have periods of 2~4 years in the Yellow River Basin. These results give evidence for identifying critical areas that impact the runoff in the Lower Yellow River.
|
| Keywords
precipitation
time series analysis
spatial distribution
Yellow River Basin
|
|
Issue Date: 21 November 2018
|
|
|
[1] 许炯心. 流域降水和人类活动对黄河入海泥沙通量的影响[J]. 海洋学报, 2003, 25(5):125-135. XU J X. Sediment flux into the sea as influenced by the changing human activities and precipitation:Example of the Huanghe River, China[J]. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 2003, 25(5):125-135. (in Chinese)
[2] 徐宗学, 张楠. 黄河流域近50年降水变化趋势分析[J]. 地理研究, 2006, 25(1):27-34. XU Z X, ZHANG N. Long-term trend of precipitation in the Yellow River basin during the past 50 years[J]. Geographical Research, 2006, 25(1):27-34. (in Chinese)
[3] 刘昌明, 成立. 黄河干流下游断流的径流序列分析[J]. 地理学报, 2000, 55(3):257-265. LIU C M, CHENG L. Analysis on runoff series with special reference to drying up courses of lower Huanghe river[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2000, 55(3):257-265. (in Chinese)
[4] 邱新法, 刘昌明, 曾燕. 黄河流域近40年蒸发皿蒸发量的气候变化特征[J]. 自然资源学报, 2003, 18(4):437-442. QIU X F, LIU C M, ZENG Y. Changes of pan evaporation in the recent 40 years over the Yellow River Basin[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2003, 18(4):437-442. (in Chinese)
[5] 徐宗学, 隋彩虹. 黄河流域平均气温变化趋势分析[J]. 气象, 2005, 31(5):7-10. XU Z X, SUI C H. Long-term trend of temperature in the Yellow River basin[J]. Meteorological Monthly, 2005, 31(5):7-10. (in Chinese)
[6] 徐宗学, 赵芳芳. 黄河流域日照时数变化趋势分析[J]. 资源科学, 2005, 27(5):153-159. XU Z X, ZHAO F F. Variation of sunlight radiation duration in the Yellow River basin[J]. Resources Science, 2005, 27(5):153-159. (in Chinese)
[7] HUANG Y, CAI J L, YIN H, et al. Correlation of precipitation to temperature variation in the Huanghe River (Yellow River) basin during 1957~2006[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2009, 372(1-4):1-8.
[8] LIANG S, GE S, WAN L, et al. Can climate change cause the Yellow River to dry up?[J]. Water Resources Research, 2010, 46:W02505.
[9] 许炯心. 人类活动影响下的黄河下游河道泥沙淤积宏观趋势研究[J]. 水力学报, 2004(2):8-16. XU J X. Tendency of sedimentation in the Lower Yellow River influenced by human activities[J]. Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 2004(2):8-16. (in Chinese)
[10] 张士锋, 贾绍凤. 降水不均匀性对黄河天然径流量的影响[J]. 地理科学进展, 2001, 20(4):355-363. ZHANG S F, JIA S F. A research of the impacts of uneven precipitation on the natural runoff in the Yellow River[J]. Progress in Geography, 2001, 20(4):355-363. (in Chinese)
[11] TANG Q H, OKI T, KANAE S, et al. A spatial analysis of hydro-climatic and vegetation condition trends in the Yellow River basin[J]. Hydrological Processes, 2008, 22(3):451-458.
[12] LIU Q, YANG Z F, CUI B S. Spatial and temporal variability of annual precipitation during 1961~2006 in Yellow River Basin, China[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2008, 361(3-4):330-338.
[13] HOUGHTON J T, DING Y, GRIGGS D J, et al. IPCC. Climate change 2001:The scientific basis. Contribution of working group 1 to the third assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change[R]. Cambridge:Cambridge University Press, 2001.
[14] DE PAULO RODRIGUES DA SILVA V. On climate variability in Northeast of Brazil[J]. Journal of Arid Environments, 2004, 58(4):575-596.
[15] COULIBALY P. Spatial and temporal variability of Canadian seasonal precipitation (1900~2000)[J]. Advances in Water Resources, 2006, 29(12):1846-1865.
[16] ZHAI P M, ZHANG X B, WAN H, et al. Trends in total precipitation and frequency of daily precipitation extremes over China[J]. Journal of Climate, 2005, 18:1096-1108.
[17] ZHANG Q, XU C Y, ZHANG Z, et al. Spatial and temporal variability of precipitation over China, 1951~2005[J]. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2009, 95(1-2):53-68.
[18] WILKS D S. Statistical methods in the atmospheric sciences[M]. 2nd ed. Pittsburgh:Academic Press, 2006.
[19] 王跃峰, 陈雪, 陈兴伟. 基于TFPW-MK法的闽江流域径流趋势研究[J]. 中国水土保持科学, 2015, 11(5):96-102. WANG Y F, CHEN X, CHEN X W. Runoff trend detection in the Minjiang River Basin with TFPW-MK method[J]. Science of Soil and Water Conservation, 2013, 11(5):96-102. (in Chinese)
[20] KUNDZEWICZ Z W, GRACZYK D, MAURER T, et al. Trend detection in river flow series:1. Annual maximum flow[J]. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 2005, 50(5):797-810.
[21] 徐宗学, 张玲, 阮本清. 北京地区降水量时空分布规律分析[J]. 干旱区地理, 2006, 29(2):186-192. XU Z X, ZHANG L, RUAN B Q. Analysis on the spatiotemporal distribution of precipitation in the Beijing Region[J]. Arid Land Geography, 2006, 29(2):186-192. (in Chinese)
[22] YUE S, PILON P, PHINNEY B. Canadian streamflow trend detection:Impacts of serial and cross-correlation[J]. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 2003, 48(1):51-63.
[23] ABLES J G. Maximum entropy spectral analysis[J]. Astronomy and Astrophysics Supplement Series, 1974, 15:383-393.
[24] 赵雪花. 河川径流演变规律的挖掘与识别技术[D]. 西安:西安理工大学, 2005. ZHAO X H. Mining and identifying technology of river runoff change law[D]. Xi'an:Xi'an University of Technology, 2005.
[25] MARQUIÍNEZ J, LASTRA J, GARCIÍA P. Estimation models for precipitation in mountainous regions:The use of GIS and multivariate analysis[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2003, 270(1-2):1-11. |
|
Viewed |
|
|
|
Full text
|
|
|
|
|
Abstract
|
|
|
|
|
Cited |
|
|
|
|
| |
Shared |
|
|
|
|
| |
Discussed |
|
|
|
|
2018,
Vol. 58
