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Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology)    2015, Vol. 55 Issue (9) : 1017-1022     DOI:
ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING |
Strategic game model for climate change negotiations based on utility theory
WANG Can1,2, JIN Zhugang1,2, CAI Wenjia2
1. School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;
2. Center for Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China
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Abstract  A game theory model incorporating utility theory was used to analyze climate change strategies for different countries. The model includes the positive, negative and spillover effects of climate change related investments, temperature change uncertainties and their effects on GDP (gross domestic product) growth. The strategies are dynamic to test for the existence of the first-mover disadvantage. The first-mover disadvantage hypothesis is also confirmed by a typical real case. The strategic model indicates that each country should wait and urge others to make promises in advance, as has been seen in real negotiations.
Keywords climate change negotiations      utility theory      game theory      strategic model     
ZTFLH:  F224  
  X24  
Issue Date: 15 September 2015
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WANG Can
JIN Zhugang
CAI Wenjia
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WANG Can,JIN Zhugang,CAI Wenjia. Strategic game model for climate change negotiations based on utility theory[J]. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology), 2015, 55(9): 1017-1022.
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http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/     OR     http://jst.tsinghuajournals.com/EN/Y2015/V55/I9/1017
  
  
  
  
  
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