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基于改进长短期记忆预测模型的空调系统节能控制算法
古宇飞, 钟文安, 陈少将, 杨文, 黄科
清华大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2026, Vol. 66 ›› Issue (3) : 510-518.
PDF(4827 KB)
PDF(4827 KB)
基于改进长短期记忆预测模型的空调系统节能控制算法
Energy-saving control algorithm for air conditioning systems based on an enhanced long short-term memory prediction model
高频率航天发射任务中, 航天器测试厂房的空调系统须长期稳定运行以确保环境条件。在低纬度发射场中, 航天器测试厂房的空调系统能耗较大。为建设绿色节能发射场, 该文提出一种基于注意力机制的改进长短期记忆(long short-term memory, LSTM)预测模型, 并利用瞬时系统模拟程序模拟空调系统数据训练该模型, 使其空调系统负荷预测精度优于传统LSTM预测模型。基于此, 该文设计了一种空调系统与冷冻站联合优化的比例-积分-微分-模型预测控制(proportional-integral-derivative-model predictive control, PID-MPC)系统, 可动态调整和精准控制空调系统运行参数。研究结果表明:该文所提方法在确保高精度和高稳定性控制环境条件的同时, 可将空调系统能耗降低15.00%以上。该文研究结果可为后续空调系统节能控制研究提供参考。
Objective: High-density space launch operations require reliable environmental control in spacecraft testing facilities, where energy-intensive heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems account for more than 70.00% of the total power consumption in low-latitude launch sites. Conventional strategies based on proportional-integral-derivative (PID) control fail to address systemic inefficiencies, including frequent equipment switching, uncoordinated chiller and air handling unit (AHU) operations, and sensitivity to extreme outdoor conditions. This study aims to develop an integrated data-driven control framework that synergizes load prediction and dynamic optimization to achieve two goals: maintaining temperature stability within ±0.5℃ and relative humidity (RH) stability within ±3% and reducing annual HVAC energy consumption by at least 15.00% in large-volume industrial facilities exceeding 300 000 m3. To address the dual objectives of environmental stability and energy efficiency in green spaceport construction, this study proposes an advanced air-conditioning control framework integrating an improved long short-term memory (LSTM) prediction model with hybrid PID-model predictive control (MPC) algorithms. Methods: Focusing on the large-scale complex HVAC systems of spacecraft testing facilities, this study systematically tackles the high energy consumption caused by independent PID control strategies, frequent equipment switching, and insufficient coordination between chillers and AHUs. A crucial innovation lies in the development of an LSTM prediction model enhanced by temporal attention mechanisms to address the limitations of conventional LSTM models, such as overfitting, weak long-term dependency capture, and poor generalization. By analyzing six key load-influencing factors (i.e., ambient temperature, relative humidity, solar radiation, occupancy, equipment heat, and lighting) through Pearson correlation and weight allocation, the model prioritizes temperature (27% weight) and solar radiation (18% weight) as the dominant variables. Trained on 8 760 h transient system simulation data covering seasonal and diurnal variations, the enhanced LSTM architecture incorporates eight hidden layers, six-dimensional inputs, and a 0.2 dropout rate, achieving exceptional prediction accuracy. Results: Comparative evaluations against baseline LSTM models showed significant improvements: the explained variance score increased from 0.999 0 to 0.999 5, the mean squared error decreased from 5.163 0 to 2.086 1, and the prediction accuracy within ±3 kW error bounds improved from 83.74% to 96.76%. The proposed model excelled in tracking irregular load fluctuations and long-term trends, as visualized in multiscale prediction-output comparisons. Building on these predictions, a PID-MPC hybrid control system was designed to synergize chiller plant optimization and AHU dynamic adjustments. The PID controller regulated chilled water supply parameters based on real-time load predictions, whereas the MPC module compensated for air-conditioning process delays and disturbances from volatile outdoor conditions. Field tests at a representative testing hall with a volume exceeding 300 000 m3 revealed that the integrated strategy achieved a 15.00% annual energy reduction compared with conventional PID controls, with monthly peak savings reaching 17.55%. The system mitigated issues such as frequent compressor cycling, uneven load distribution, and excessive reheating energy consumption, maintaining temperature and humidity within ±0.5℃ and ±3% RH thresholds, respectively. Conclusions: This study introduces three pivotal contributions to intelligent HVAC systems. First, the attention-augmented LSTM model establishes a new benchmark for industrial load forecasting, particularly in capturing nonlinear interactions between external weather and internal thermal loads. Second, the PID-MPC hybrid strategy effectively bridges the local actuator responsiveness and the global energy optimization, outperforming single-method approaches in terms of stability and efficiency. Next, validated in ultralarge spacecraft test facilities, the framework offers a replicable solution for comparable high-bay environments, such as semiconductor fabrication facilities or aerospace assembly plants. Practically, the 15.00% energy reduction means that launch sites can save hundreds of millions of kilowatt-hours of electricity annually, significantly advancing the development of green launch facilities.
航天器测试厂房 / 长短期记忆预测模型 / 空调系统 / 节能控制算法
spacecraft testing facility / long-short-term memory predictive model / air conditioning system / energy-saving control algorithms
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