人工智能在海上浮式结构物动力响应预测中的应用与研究进展

张晟, 张建民, 郑向远

清华大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2025, Vol. 65 ›› Issue (12) : 2493-2509.

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清华大学学报(自然科学版) ›› 2025, Vol. 65 ›› Issue (12) : 2493-2509. DOI: 10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2026.27.012
 

人工智能在海上浮式结构物动力响应预测中的应用与研究进展

作者信息 +

Applications and research progress of artificial intelligence in predicting dynamic responses of offshore floating structures

Author information +
文章历史 +

摘要

准确预测海上浮式结构物的动力响应对于结构安全和运营规划至关重要。该文综述了人工智能在海上浮式结构物动力响应预测中的最新应用与研究进展。首先, 总结了浮式结构物动力响应的复杂性和传统数值仿真方法在计算效率和精度上的局限, 阐明了引入人工智能的必要性。然后, 分析了人工智能在浮式结构物的动力响应时序、极值和疲劳预测3个方向的应用情况, 涉及浮式油气平台、浮式生产储卸油装置和浮式风机等常见的海上浮体。最后, 评论了现有应用在预测精度、泛化能力、计算成本和工程适用性等方面的优势和不足, 指出了物理可解释性、域外泛化能力和不确定性量化等亟待解决的关键问题, 并展望了未来的发展方向。该文有助于加快人工智能在海洋工程领域的进一步推广。

Abstract

Significance: As onshore and nearshore resources become increasingly scarce, exploiting the deep sea has become a strategic priority for energy production, aquaculture, raw materials, and maritime transport. Deep-sea engineering relies on various offshore floating structures that operate under harsh, complex, and time-varying wind, wave, and current conditions. Accurate and efficient prediction of their motions and internal force responses is essential for structural safety, optimal design, and operational planning. Conventional methods, such as computational fluid dynamics and potential flow theory, are computationally expensive or imprecise when strong nonlinearities are present. Advances in sensors, computing power, and big data technology have enabled artificial intelligence (AI) applications in this field. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) adaptively capture complex nonlinear dynamics from large datasets, making AI-based response prediction an effective bridge between efficiency and accuracy in ocean engineering. This review surveys recent progress in AI methods for predicting the dynamic responses of offshore floating structures, underscoring their strengths and limitations and outlining future research directions. Progress: This review consolidates recent advances in applying AI to three key predictive tasks for offshore floating structures (e.g., oil and gas platforms, floating production, storage and offloading units (FPSOs), and floating wind turbines). First, in time-series prediction, recurrent ANNs, such as gated recurrent units and long short-term memory networks, are widely used for short-term forecasting of floater motions and mooring tensions. Current research primarily focuses on two key improvement strategies. The first involves optimizing input features, which include environmental time histories (e.g., wave elevation and wind speed) and dynamic response time series (e.g., floater motions and internal structural forces). The second focuses on integrating AI with complementary techniques. Signal processing algorithms, such as variational mode decomposition, are used to reduce the bandwidth of model inputs. Optimization algorithms, such as Bayesian optimization, are employed to fine-tune model hyperparameters. Furthermore, incorporating physical laws (e.g., hydrodynamic transfer functions) enhances the model's generalization capability. Second, for extreme-value prediction, ANNs such as multilayer perceptrons and backpropagation networks are trained to map environmental parameters directly to short-term extremes or to extreme-value distribution parameters, thereby greatly reducing computational cost compared with time-domain simulations. For long-term extremes, representative sea states are sampled, and a surrogate model is trained to rapidly predict short-term extremes; probability convolution across states then provides long-term estimates that approach the accuracy of traditional full long-term analyses at a fraction of the computational cost. Third, for short-term fatigue damage prediction, ANNs are applied in both frequency-domain analysis (e.g., approximating nonlinear stress transfer functions) and time-domain analysis (e.g., mapping environmental parameters directly to load ranges or damage equivalent loads). For long-term fatigue assessment, two practical strategies prevail. The first is similar to that used in long-term extreme predictions. The second employs active learning to iteratively select the most informative samples, considerably reducing the required number of simulations while preserving accuracy. Conclusions and Prospects: AI provides significant advantages in rapid prediction and effective modeling of strong nonlinearities, overcoming the limitations of traditional numerical methods and enabling efficient forecasting and design optimization. However, most models are purely data-driven and thus assume limited generalizability to unseen conditions, lack physical interpretability, and often ignore built-in uncertainty quantification. Additionally, while various time-series prediction methods have been extensively compared, similar cross-evaluations are scarce for extreme-value and fatigue prediction approaches. To translate AI advances into reliable engineering practice, future work should prioritize physics-informed neural networks that embed fundamental hydrodynamics to improve generalization and trustworthiness, integrate uncertainty quantification frameworks such as Bayesian neural networks for reliability-based design, and develop more efficient strategies for long-term extreme-value and fatigue prediction. Finally, establishing high-quality shared datasets, standardized benchmarks, and validation protocols will be essential to migrate these techniques from research prototypes to routine engineering tools, powering digital twins and forecasting systems for offshore floating structures.

关键词

人工智能 / 浮式结构物 / 时序预测 / 极值预测 / 疲劳预测

Key words

artificial intelligence (AI) / offshore floating structures / time-series prediction / extreme-value prediction / fatigue prediction

引用本文

导出引用
张晟, 张建民, 郑向远. 人工智能在海上浮式结构物动力响应预测中的应用与研究进展[J]. 清华大学学报(自然科学版). 2025, 65(12): 2493-2509 https://doi.org/10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2026.27.012
Sheng ZHANG, Jianmin ZHANG, Xiangyuan ZHENG. Applications and research progress of artificial intelligence in predicting dynamic responses of offshore floating structures[J]. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology). 2025, 65(12): 2493-2509 https://doi.org/10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2026.27.012
中图分类号: P752   

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基金

国家自然科学基金面上项目(52071186)
清华大学深圳国际研究生院团队项目(TD2024-05)

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