Conductor fatigue life assessment method based on wind speed and wind direction probability distributions

Kai WANG, Jianming HAO, Hongjie ZHANG, Shouhao YUAN

Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology) ›› 2026, Vol. 66 ›› Issue (3) : 586-596.

PDF(20574 KB)
PDF(20574 KB)
Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology) ›› 2026, Vol. 66 ›› Issue (3) : 586-596. DOI: 10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2026.26.002
Power Grid Disaster Emergency Science

Conductor fatigue life assessment method based on wind speed and wind direction probability distributions

Author information +
History +

Abstract

Objective: Although existing research on conductor fatigue life has established a corresponding theoretical basis and provided core support for subsequent calculation work, two key issues remain in engineering applications. First, although the combined dynamic effects of wind speed and direction in the field environment are critical to the actual fatigue evolution process and service life of conductors, existing models insufficiently consider this factor, leading to discrepancies between life predictions based on theoretical calculations and actual engineering observations. Second, the existing theoretical system for fatigue life calculation is complex, requires specified calculation methods, and demands high levels of professional and technical knowledge from customers. As a result, wide promotion and efficient application in the power industry—especially in grassroots operation and maintenance units—are difficult, restricting the transformation of theoretical results into engineering practice. To address these problems, this study proposes a method for evaluating conductor fatigue life based on the probability distributions of wind speed and direction. Methods: Transmission lines in Northwest China were selected as the research object. More than 10 years of meteorological data from this region were systematically collected and analyzed, and the probability density functions of wind speed and wind direction were accurately obtained. Considering the key factors such as conductor type, span, and tension, more than 40 000 finite element models of conductor-insulator string suspension systems were constructed. Three typical conductors corresponding to maximum, median, and minimum frequencies were selected for fatigue analysis based on the first-order positive symmetrical side-bending frequency of the conductor. Nonlinear dynamic response analysis was then carried out for these conductors, and their stress time histories were extracted. Finally, the annual fatigue performance of different conductors was evaluated using the Wöhler safety curve, the rain flow counting method, and Miner's linear cumulative damage theory based on the measured wind speed distribution. Results: The analysis showed the following results: (1) Monitoring of local meteorological conditions revealed that the dominant wind direction in the study area was southeast, and the wind speed distribution conformed to the generalized extreme value distribution with a position parameter of 2.507, a shape parameter of 0.080, and a scale parameter of 1.440. (2) Stress time histories were extracted at the suspension point edge (40 cm), the 1/4-span position, and the midspan position. The stress level at the suspension point edge was considerably higher than that at other positions, and the average stress of the conductor increased with decreasing natural frequency and increasing wind speed. (3) The degree of wind-induced fatigue damage was closely related to the conductor's natural frequency and the ambient wind speed. The lower the natural frequency was, the greater the fatigue damage, especially at higher wind speeds. A fatigue performance database of transmission lines was finally established based on conductor parameters. Conclusions: The findings of this study provide an efficient and practical tool for transmission line operation and maintenance. By entering key parameters such as conductor type, tension, and span and combining them with regional wind speed and direction data, the method enables rapid estimation of conductor fatigue life, scientific assessment of remaining service life, proactive maintenance of high-risk line segments, and significant improvement in the operational efficiency of transmission line maintenance. Its application contributes to ensuring the safety and stability of power system operation.

Key words

transmission conductor / finite element model / meteorological data / rain-flow counting method / fatigue performance assessment / line operation and maintenance optimization

Cite this article

Download Citations
Kai WANG , Jianming HAO , Hongjie ZHANG , et al. Conductor fatigue life assessment method based on wind speed and wind direction probability distributions[J]. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology). 2026, 66(3): 586-596 https://doi.org/10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2026.26.002

References

1
王洪, 柳亦兵, 董玉明, 等. 架空线路导线疲劳试验振动幅度的研究[J]. 中国电机工程学报, 2008, 28 (4): 123- 128.
WANG H , LIU Y B , DONG Y M , et al. The study of conductor fatigue test amplitude of overhead lines[J]. Proceedings of the CSEE, 2008, 28 (4): 123- 128.
2
宋文硕, 宋竹满, 罗雪梅, 等. 粗糙表面高强铝合金导线疲劳寿命预测[J]. 金属学报, 2022, 58 (8): 1035- 1043.
SONG W S , SONG Z M , LUO X M , et al. Fatigue life prediction of high strength aluminum alloy conductor wires with rough surface[J]. Acta Metallurgica Sinica, 2022, 58 (8): 1035- 1043.
3
仝步升, 廖谷然, 杨北革, 等. 架空输电线路微风振动监测与疲劳损伤计算研究[J]. 水电能源科学, 2013, 31 (8): 173- 176.
TONG B S , LIAO G R , YANG B G , et al. Investigation on aeolian vibration monitoring and fatigue damage calculation of overhead transmission lines[J]. Water Resources and Power, 2013, 31 (8): 173- 176.
4
汪峰, 洪磊, 刘章军, 等. 基于概率密度演化的大跨越导线铝部风振疲劳可靠度分析[J]. 力学季刊, 2024, 45 (2): 543- 554.
WANG F , HONG L , LIU Z J , et al. Reliability analysis of wind induced fatigue of aluminum part of long span conductors based on probability density evolution[J]. Chinese Quarterly of Mechanics, 2024, 45 (2): 543- 554.
5
李正良, 王邦杰, 王涛. 考虑施扰山体影响的耐张型悬索支撑输电结构风振疲劳损伤分析[J]. 振动工程学报, 2025, 38 (2): 279- 291.
LI Z L , WANG B J , WANG T . Wind-induced fatigue damage analysis of the tension suspension-braced transmission structure considering the effect of occluding hills[J]. Journal of Vibration Engineering, 2025, 38 (2): 279- 291.
6
张弘杰. 输电导线微风振动数值模拟与机理研究[D]. 哈尔滨: 哈尔滨工业大学, 2021.
ZHANG H J. Study on numerical analysis andmechanism of the aeolian vibrationof transmission lines [D]. Harbin: Harbin Institute of Technology, 2021. (in Chinese)
7
ROCHA P H C , DÍAZ J I M , SILVA C R M , et al. Fatigue of two contacting wires of the ACSR Ibis 397.5 MCM conductor: Experiments and life prediction[J]. International Journal of Fatigue, 2019, 127, 25- 35.
8
汪之松. 特高压输电塔线体系风振响应及风振疲劳性能研究[D]. 重庆: 重庆大学, 2009.
WANG Z S. Study on wind-induced response and fatigue of UHV transmission tower-line coupled system [D]. Chongqing: Chongqing University, 2009. (in Chinese)
9
卞荣, 徐卿, 俞恩科, 等. 台风作用下输电塔线体系多元状态监测及风偏可靠度分析[J]. 振动与冲击, 2020, 39 (3): 52- 59.
BIAN R , XU Q , YU E K , et al. Multi-variate state monitoring and wind bias reliability analysis of a transmission tower-line system under action of typhoon[J]. Journal of Vibration and Shock, 2020, 39 (3): 52- 59.
10
DEODATIS G . Simulation of ergodic multivariate stochastic processes[J]. Journal of Engineering Mechanics, 1996, 122 (8): 778- 787.
11
KOVACS I , SVENSSON H S , JORDET E . Analytical aerodynamic investigation of cable-stayed Helgeland Bridge[J]. Journal of Structural Engineering, 1992, 118 (1): 147- 168.
12
BRAGA G E, NAKAMURA R, FURTADO T A. Aeolian vibration of overhead transmission line cables: Endurance limits [C]//Proceedings of the 2004 IEEE/PES Transmision and Distribution Conference and Exposition: Latin America. Sao Paulo, Brazil: IEEE, 2004: 487-492.

RIGHTS & PERMISSIONS

All rights reserved. Unauthorized reproduction is prohibited.
PDF(20574 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail

Sections
Recommended

/