Calculation model of vehicle carbon emissions for provincial highway networks

Shengyu YAN, Shangjun WANG, Zhaolong WANG, Danyang YU, Hongwen XIONG, Jian SUN

Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology) ›› 2026, Vol. 66 ›› Issue (4) : 757-769.

PDF(5867 KB)
PDF(5867 KB)
Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology) ›› 2026, Vol. 66 ›› Issue (4) : 757-769. DOI: 10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2026.28.004
Vehicle and Traffic

Calculation model of vehicle carbon emissions for provincial highway networks

Author information +
History +

Abstract

Objective: This study aims to propose a vehicle carbon emission calculation model for provincial highway networks. Drawing on actual traffic volume on observation data, the model seeks to integrate vehicle type differences, gross vehicle weight, driving conditions, and a theoretical fuel consumption framework to enable refined, road-segment-specific emissions estimation. Methods: 1) A "down to up" approach was adopted. Based on a maximum entropy OD backpropagation model, the OD matrix was redistributed to transform the observed traffic data of some road sections into the entire road network traffic distribution. 2) The average speed of road sections estimated using the function proposed by Bureau of Public Roads was divided into free-flow and non-free-flow states, and the driving cycles of highway vehicles in different speed intervals were obtained. 3) CATC series driving circles were deconstructed based on vehicle type, total mass, and average speed. Typical operating condition segments were extracted, and new driving circles adapted to provincial highway networks were reconstructed using Python. 4) Using the operating condition curves and driving volume, the fuel consumption and electricity consumption of each vehicle type were calculated and then converted to carbon emissions based on the carbon balance principle. 5) Because the fuel consumption rate model parameter was difficult to obtain, fuel consumption rates were calculated based on energy consumption values per second under different operating conditions in the MOVES open-source database. 6) The results of the proposed model were compared with those of simulations based on MOVES 4.0 and COPERT 5.8, as well as various fuel consumption data released by the provincial bureau of statistics, and the model's feasibility was verified in terms of carbon emission deviation rate and vehicle energy consumption reference value. Results: Considering the Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region as a case study, the monthly total carbon emissions of the provincial highway network were calculated, and the distribution characteristics of carbon emissions on the highway sections were analyzed. The results showed that the total carbon emission of the provincial highway network in November 2019 was 195 900 tons. Trucks were the main source of carbon emissions, accounting for as high as 87.85%. Heavy-duty trucks made a particularly significant contribution, constituting 76.47% of the carbon emissions from trucks. The carbon emissions from the operation of small passenger cars accounted for only 12.15% and 82.93% of all vehicle types and passenger vehicles, respectively. Conclusions: Through the case study, the proposed model was verified to have high calculation accuracy. The reconstructed working conditions are suitable for complex road networks in China. The proposed model considered the driving circles of various vehicle types in different speed ranges, avoiding the use of inadequate international carbon emission software such as MOVES and COPERT. This research will support the precise calculation of vehicle carbon emissions in provincial highway networks.

Key words

transportation / highway / carbon emission estimation / link traffic data / automotive operating conditions / specific fuel consumption

Cite this article

Download Citations
Shengyu YAN , Shangjun WANG , Zhaolong WANG , et al . Calculation model of vehicle carbon emissions for provincial highway networks[J]. Journal of Tsinghua University(Science and Technology). 2026, 66(4): 757-769 https://doi.org/10.16511/j.cnki.qhdxxb.2026.28.004

References

1
SCHLEUSSNER C F , GANTI G , LEJEUNE Q , et al. Overconfidence in climate overshoot[J]. Nature, 2024, 634 (8033): 366- 373.
2
王屾, 于丹阳. 宏观尺度下公路货运网络空间结构的特征和演进规律[J]. 交通运输研究, 2024, 10 (4): 20- 31.
WANG S , YU D Y . Characteristics and evolution patterns of highway freight network spatial structure at macro scale[J]. Transport Research, 2024, 10 (4): 20- 31.
3
滕文焘, 张芊芊, 刘芳, 等. 中国机动车碳排放估算的研究进展[J]. 华南师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2022, 54 (3): 83- 92.
TENG W T , ZHANG Q Q , LIU F , et al. The progress in the research on estimation of vehicle carbon emission in China[J]. Journal of South China Normal University (Natural Science Edition), 2022, 54 (3): 83- 92.
4
闫晟煜, 王钊龙, 武瑾, 等. 省域高速公路网车辆碳排放量测算方法[J]. 中国环境科学, 2024, 44 (12): 7095- 7104.
YAN S Y , WANG Z L , WU J , et al. Estimation model of vehicle carbon emission for provincial expressway networks[J]. China Environmental Science, 2024, 44 (12): 7095- 7104.
5
BIAN Y H , LIN J Y , HAN H , et al. Mitigation synergy and policy implications in urban transport sector: A case study of Xiamen, China[J]. Environmental Research Letters, 2023, 18 (8): 084030.
6
田泽源, 董治, 董治宇, 等. 基于面板数据模型关中平原城市群交通碳排放峰值预测与脱钩分析[J]. 中国环境科学, 2024, 44 (10): 5901- 5911.
TIAN Z Y , DONG Z , DONG Z Y , et al. Predicting and decoupling analysis of transportation peak carbon emissions in Guanzhong Plain urban agglomeration based on panel data modeling[J]. China Environmental Science, 2024, 44 (10): 5901- 5911.
7
王超, 武丽敏. 基于"双碳"视角的丝绸之路经济带交通碳减排驱动因素分析[J]. 干旱区资源与环境, 2024, 38 (2): 9- 19.
WANG C , WU L M . Factors driving the carbon emission reduction in transport along the Silk Road Economic Belt: An analysis from the perspective of "double carbon"[J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2024, 38 (2): 9- 19.
8
SHEN Y , WU T R , LIAN A P , et al. Dynamic emission characteristics and control strategies of air pollutants from motor vehicles in downtown Beijing, China[J]. Journal of Environmental Sciences, 2024, 136, 637- 646.
9
温惠英, 何梓琦, 胡宇晴, 等. 高速公路新能源汽车碳排放量的测算及空间分布特征[J]. 华南理工大学学报(自然科学版), 2024, 52 (8): 1- 13.
WEN H Y , HE Z Q , HU Y Q , et al. Calculation and spatial distribution characteristics of carbon emissions from new energy vehicles on expressways[J]. Journal of South China University of Technology (Natural Science Edition), 2024, 52 (8): 1- 13.
10
何榕健, 陈立峰, 何建文, 等. 城市居民出行碳排放模型构建及其应用[J]. 复旦学报(自然科学版), 2023, 62 (6): 796- 806.
HE R J , CHEN L F , HE J W , et al. Construction and application of urban residents' travel carbon emission model[J]. Journal of Fudan University (Natural Science), 2023, 62 (6): 796- 806.
11
LIU W W , ZHANG J , JIN L , et al. Sustainable low-carbon layout of land around rail transit stations based on multi-modal spatial data[J]. Sustainability, 2023, 15 (12): 9589.
12
许嘉俊, 杨晓军, 李睿. 城市居民生活碳排放及影响因素的时空异质性[J]. 中国环境科学, 2024, 44 (3): 1732- 1742.
XU J J , YANG X J , LI R . The spatial and temporal heterogeneity of carbon emission and its driving forces in urban households[J]. China Environmental Science, 2024, 44 (3): 1732- 1742.
13
孙健, 张颖, 薛睿, 等. 基于移动监测的城市道路交通碳排放形成机理——以上海市为例[J]. 中国公路学报, 2017, 30 (5): 122- 131.
SUN J , ZHANG Y , XUE R , et al. Formation mechanism of urban traffic carbon emissions based on mobile monitoring: Case study of Shanghai[J]. China Journal of Highway and Transport, 2017, 30 (5): 122- 131.
14
闫晟煜, 赵佳琪, 尤文博, 等. 高速公路货车差异化通行费折扣的双层规划模型[J]. 清华大学学报(自然科学版), 2025, 65 (7): 1347- 1358.
YAN S Y , ZHAO J Q , YOU W B , et al. Bi-level programming model for differentiated toll discounts for expressway trucks[J]. Journal of Tsinghua University (Science & Technology), 2025, 65 (7): 1347- 1358.
15
中华人民共和国交通运输部. 公路交通情况调查设备第1部分: 技术条件: JT/T 1008.1-20150[S]. 北京: 中国标准出版社, 2015.
Ministry of Transport of the People's Republic of China. Highway traffic survey equipment Part 1: Technical specifications: JT/T 1008.1-2015[S]. Beijing: China Communications Press, 2015. (in Chinese)
16
国家市场监督管理总局, 国家标准化管理委员会. 综合能耗计算通则: GB/T 2589—2020[S]. 北京: 中国标准出版社, 2020.
State Administration for Market Regulation, National Standardization Administration. General rules for calculation of the comprehensive energy consumption: GB/T 2589—2020[S]. Beijing: Standards Press of China, 2020. (in Chinese)
17
生态环境部办公厅. 大气污染物与温室气体融合排放清单编制技术指南(试行)[R]. 北京: 生态环境部, 2024.
Ministry of Ecology and Environment of the People's Republic of China, General Office. Technical guidelines for compiling integrated emission inventories of air pollutants and greenhouse gases (Trial)[R]. Beijing: Ministry of Ecology and Environment, 2024. (in Chinese)
18
国家市场监督管理总局, 国家标准化管理委员会. 电动汽车能耗折算方法: GB/T 37340—2019[S]. 北京: 中国标准出版社, 2019.
State Administration for Market Regulation, National Standardization Administration. Conversion methods for energy consumption of electric vehicles: GB/T 37340—2019[S]. Beijing: Standards Press of China, 2019. (in Chinese)
19
LU S M . A review of high-efficiency motors: Specification, policy, and technology[J]. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, 2016, 59, 1- 12.
20
GOBBI M , SATTAR A , PALAZZETTI R , et al. Traction motors for electric vehicles: Maximization of mechanical efficiency-A review[J]. Applied Energy, 2024, 357, 122496.
21
闫晟煜, 孙可欣, 温福华, 等. 收费模式重大调整后的高速公路运输量监测方法重构[J]. 交通运输工程学报, 2024, 24 (5): 259- 269.
YAN S Y , SUN K X , WEN F H , et al. Monitoring method reconfiguration of expressway transportation volume after significant adjustment of toll collection mode[J]. Journal of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, 2024, 24 (5): 259- 269.
22
国家市场监督管理总局, 国家标准化管理委员会. 中国汽车行驶工况第1部分: 轻型汽车: GB/T 38146.1-2019[S]. 北京: 中国标准出版社, 2019.
State Administration for Market Regulation, National Standardization Administration. China automotive test cycle-Part 1: Light-duty vehicles: GB/T 38146.1—2019[S]. Beijing: Standards Press of China, 2019. (in Chinese)
23
国家市场监督管理总局, 国家标准化管理委员会. 中国汽车行驶工况第2部分: 重型商用车辆: GB/T 38146.2—2019[S]. 北京: 中国标准出版社, 2019.
State Administration for Market Regulation, National Standardization Administration. China automotive test cycle-Part 2: Heavy-duty commercial vehicles: GB/T 38146.2—2019[S]. Beijing: Standards Press of China, 2019. (in Chinese)
24
王炜, 孙俊. 大型交通网络OD矩阵推算方法研究[J]. 东南大学学报, 1996, 26 (S1): 47- 54.
WANG W , SUN J . Research on method of estimating O-D matrices for large-sized transportation network[J]. Journal of Southeast University, 1996, 26 (S1): 47- 54.
25
中华人民共和国交通运输部. 公路工程技术标准: JTG B01—2014[S]. 北京: 人民交通出版社, 2015.
Ministry of Transport of the People's Republic of China. Technical standard of highway engineering: JTG B01—2014[S]. Beijing: China Communications Press, 2015. (in Chinese)
26
中华人民共和国工业和信息化部. 中国汽车能源消耗量查询[P/OL]. (2023-09-08)[2025-11-07]. https://yhgscx.miit.gov.cn/fuel-consumption-web/mainPage.
Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of the People's Republic of China. China's automobile energy consumption inquiry[P/OL]. (2023-09-08)[2025-11-07]. https://yhgscx.miit.gov.cn/fuel-consumption-web/mainPage. (in Chinese)
27
国家市场监督管理总局, 国家标准化管理委员会. 电动汽车能量消耗量和续驶里程试验方法第1部分: 轻型汽车: GB/T 18386.1—2021[S]. 北京: 中国标准出版社, 2021.
State Administration for Market Regulation, National Standardization Administration. Test methods for energy consumption and range of electric vehicles-Part 1: Light-duty vehicles: GB/T 18386.1—2021[S]. Beijing: Standards Press of China, 2021. (in Chinese)
28
尚勋, 王微. 基于JT/T 711—2016标准测试营运客车燃料消耗量[J]. 小型内燃机与车辆技术, 2022, 51 (3): 68- 72.
SHANG X , WANG W . Testing fuel consumption of operating passenger bus based on JT/T 711—2016[J]. Small Internal Combustion Engine and Vehicle Technique, 2022, 51 (3): 68- 72.
29
中华人民共和国交通运输部. 营运货车燃料消耗量限值及测量方法: JT/T 719—2016[S]. 北京: 人民交通出版社, 2017.
Ministry of Transport of the People's Republic of China. Limits and measurement methods of fuel consumption for commercial vehicle for cargos transportation: JT/T 719—2016[S]. Beijing: China Communications Press, 2017. (in Chinese)
30
朱江苏, 史祥东, 甄雷, 等. 基于交通部燃料消耗量标准的动力总成匹配方法研究[J]. 农业装备与车辆工程, 2024, 62 (5): 128- 131.
ZHU J S , SHI X D , ZHEN L , et al. Study of powertrain matching methods based on fuel consumption by ministry of transport[J]. Agricultural Equipment & Vehicle Engineering, 2024, 62 (5): 128- 131.
31
郭瑞玲, 苑林, 谢东明, 等. 载货汽车燃油经济性与整车质量的相关性研究[J]. 汽车工程, 2015, 37 (6): 613- 616.
GUO R L , YUAN L , XIE D M , et al. A study on the correlation between the fuel economy and total mass of trucks[J]. Automotive Engineering, 2015, 37 (6): 613- 616.
32
闫晟煜, 白书铭, 查文超, 等. 公路货物运价研究进展[J]. 铁道运输与经济, 2024, 46 (12): 122- 136.
YAN S Y , BAI S M , ZHA W C , et al. Research progress on highway freight rate[J]. Railway Transport and Economy, 2024, 46 (12): 122- 136.

RIGHTS & PERMISSIONS

All rights reserved. Unauthorized reproduction is prohibited.
PDF(5867 KB)

Accesses

Citation

Detail

Sections
Recommended

/